Bitcoin Price Analysis: Will BTC Break Below $40K or Continue the Bull Market?

images of Bitcoin and a price chart


Bitcoin faces significant rejection, but a crucial support level could lead to a renewed bullish movement.

A Rejection At $48,000 Mark

Bitcoin is currentry trading at $40,823 on Monday, January 22. The digital asset is down by 2.6% in the past 24 hours and down by 4.66% on the 7-day chart. With a market cap of $798 billion, the cryptocurrency still dominates the coin market by 50%.

Despite positive developments such as the approval of Bitcoin spot ETFs by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Bitcoin’s price encountered significant rejection, resulting in a notable 17% decline. However, as the cryptocurrency approaches a crucial support region, there is potential for a renewed bullish movement.

Bitcoin’s Technical Analysis

Analyzing the daily chart, Bitcoin’s attempt to overcome the substantial resistance at $48K was met with rejection, leading to a 17% decline towards a critical support region. This support region includes the middle boundary of the ascending channel and the pivotal 200-day moving average at $39K, serving as robust support for Bitcoin buyers.

If the retracement persists, the price is anticipated to find support around $39K, possibly triggering a renewed bullish surge. However, an unexpected break below the 200-day moving average could lead to a cascade, flushing out a notable amount of sell-stop orders, resulting in a long-squeeze event.


More Sell-offs

On the 4-hour chart, the rejection from the $48K resistance zone extended, with the price breaking below the lower boundary of the ascending flag, indicating the presence of sellers.


However, after a strong breakout, a retracement towards the flag’s lower boundary is underway, potentially completing a pullback. If it happens, the retrace could pave the way for the continuation of Bitcoin’s downward movement in the short term, targeting the static support range of $39K.

Nonetheless, Bitcoin’s mid-term prospects suggest consolidation within the critical price range bounded by the substantial resistance zone at $48K and the decisive support at $39K. A successful breakout from this zone will shed light on the cryptocurrency’s next impulsive trend.


On-Chain Analysis

Despite the recent short-term correction, the funding rates have experienced a significant decline. However, it’s noteworthy that the metric still shows positive values. This can be interpreted as a positive sign, suggesting that the sentiment remains bullish while the futures market has cooled off from being overheated. As a result, there is a possibility that the price might continue its upward trajectory after completing the current correction stage.


Sentiments are Bullish

Bitcoin’s recent rejection from the $48K resistance zone has led to a significant price decline. However, the cryptocurrency is approaching a crucial support region at $39K, which could trigger a renewed bullish surge. Technical analysis suggests that a break below the 200-day moving average could lead to further downside pressure.

On-chain analysis indicates that despite the correction, the sentiment in the futures market remains bullish. As Bitcoin navigates through this critical phase, market participants will closely monitor the price action to determine the future direction of the cryptocurrency.

Author: Dominion

Domie loves writing and building cool stuffs.